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Month: January 2026

NGX Reshuffles Major Indices, Drops United Capital, Access, Stanbic IBTC

  • dollaers
  • January 5, 2026
  • Business, Exchange Market
  • 0 comments

The Nigerian Exchange Limited (NGX) has announced the outcome of its full-year 2025 market index review, confirming a reshuffle across several flagship, sectoral, and thematic indices. The changes, which took effect at the start of trading on Friday, January 2, 2026, reflect evolving dynamics in market capitalisation, liquidity, free float, and investor activity within Nigeria’s equity market.

According to details released by the Exchange, the review resulted in the inclusion of Guinness Nigeria Plc, Presco Plc, and Wema Bank Plc in key indices, underscoring their improved performance and relevance over the past year. Conversely, companies such as United Capital Plc, Access Holdings Plc, International Breweries Plc, and Stanbic IBTC Holdings Plc were dropped from some major indices as part of the periodic rebalancing process.

What the reshuffle shows

NGX index reviews are designed to ensure that its benchmarks remain accurate reflections of market realities. The criteria typically include market capitalisation, trading liquidity, free float, corporate governance compliance, and sector representation. As these variables shift over time, index composition is adjusted to maintain relevance for investors.

In the flagship NGX 30 Index, which tracks the 30 most capitalised and liquid stocks on the Exchange, Guinness Nigeria Plc was added, replacing United Capital Plc. This move points to stronger relative performance by Guinness Nigeria during 2025, supported by improved liquidity and investor interest. The brewer also emerged as one of the best-performing consumer goods stocks during the year, benefiting from pricing power and operational resilience.

United Capital’s exit from the NGX 30 does not necessarily signal a deterioration in its fundamentals. Rather, it reflects a relative change in ranking compared with other listed companies that better met the index’s quantitative thresholds during the review period.

Sectoral indices largely stable

Changes across sector-specific indices were relatively modest, suggesting stability in sector leadership. In the NGX Insurance Index, Mutual Benefits Assurance was added, replacing Guinea Insurance, reflecting shifts in liquidity and trading activity within the insurance space. The NGX Oil & Gas Index also saw a change, with Japaul Gold & Ventures Plc replacing MRS Oil Nigeria.

Notably, the Banking, Consumer Goods, and Industrial Goods indices recorded no changes, indicating that the dominant players in these sectors largely maintained their positions in terms of size and liquidity throughout 2025.

Broader movements in thematic and compliance-based indices

Beyond the core indices, the reshuffle was more pronounced across thematic and compliance-focused benchmarks. In the NGX Pension Index, which tracks stocks eligible for investment by pension funds, Wema Bank Plc was admitted, while International Breweries Plc was removed. This highlights changes in eligibility criteria such as free float and liquidity, which are critical for institutional investors.

The NGX Lotus Islamic Index, which tracks Shariah-compliant equities, added Presco Plc, reinforcing continued investor appetite for agriculture-linked and export-oriented businesses within the non-interest finance space.

Partner and thematic indices also recorded notable changes. The Afrinvest Bank Value Index admitted Wema Bank, Jaiz Bank, Access Holdings, and Stanbic IBTC, signalling renewed momentum among both tier-one and mid-tier banks. Meanwhile, the Afrinvest Dividend Yield Index welcomed Dangote Cement, Okomu Oil, Vitafoam, and Conoil, reflecting investor preference for dividend-paying stocks amid elevated interest rates.

Why it matters for investors

Index reshuffles are more than routine housekeeping exercises. Many passive funds, exchange-traded products, and institutional portfolios track NGX indices closely. As a result, newly added stocks often attract fresh inflows, while those removed may face short-term selling pressure.

NGX Chief Executive Officer, Jude Chiemeka, has previously noted that index reviews align with the Exchange’s broader objective of deepening liquidity and strengthening investor confidence through transparent and rules-based market frameworks. For investors, the latest reshuffle offers useful signals about which stocks are gaining relevance and which are gradually losing ground in Nigeria’s evolving equity market.

Ultimately, the 2025 index review underscores how shifts in performance, liquidity, and market structure continue to reshape leadership within the NGX, with implications for both active and passive investment strategies going into 2026.

Best-Performing Nigerian Stocks for the Week Ended 2 January 2026

  • dollaers
  • January 5, 2026
  • Stocks
  • 0 comments

The Nigerian equity market kicked off 2026 on a strong footing, with the benchmark Nigerian Exchange (NGX) All-Share Index (ASI) delivering an impressive weekly performance. By the close of trading on Friday, January 2, 2026, the ASI had gained 2,952.53 points, ending the week at 156,492.36 points. This marked a 1.92% increase from the previous week’s close of 153,539.83 points and represented the first time in history that the index crossed the 156,000 level.

The rally was achieved despite a shortened trading week, as Thursday, January 1, was observed as a public holiday to mark the New Year. With only four trading sessions, the market still managed to record broad-based gains, signalling renewed investor optimism at the start of the year.

Trading activity and market breadth improve

Market participation rose sharply during the week, with total turnover climbing to 7.8 billion shares valued at N134.4 billion, executed across 150,799 deals. This was a significant jump from the 2.8 billion shares traded in the previous week, underscoring increased investor engagement.

Equity market capitalisation also expanded, rising by 2.09% to N99.93 trillion, up from N97.89 trillion. This near-N100 trillion valuation highlights the scale of value creation driven by rising share prices across multiple sectors.

Market breadth was notably positive. A total of 73 equities closed higher, compared to 44 gainers in the preceding week. Decliners reduced to 23 stocks, down from 30 previously, while 51 equities closed flat, reflecting a healthier balance between buying and selling pressure.

Index and sector performance

The All-Share Index remained in positive territory throughout the week. It opened on Monday with a strong 0.55% gain, followed by a 0.42% rise on Tuesday. Although Wednesday also ended in the green, it was Friday’s session that delivered the historic milestone, pushing the index decisively above 156,000 points.

Other major indices followed suit. The NGX 30 Index advanced 1.85%, reflecting gains among large-cap stocks, while the NGX Premium Index edged up 0.28%, supported by strength in its core constituents. Among blue-chip stocks, Access Holdings led with a 12.20% weekly gain, while UBA and Zenith Bank each rose 2.38%, and MTN Nigeria added 1.39%.

From a sectoral perspective, the NGX Insurance Index topped the leaderboard with a 5.93% gain, as 11 insurance stocks closed higher. Regency Assurance, NEM Insurance, and Cornerstone Insurance all recorded double-digit gains, reflecting renewed interest in the sector.

The NGX Consumer Goods Index followed with a 3.44% increase, buoyed by sharp rallies in Honeywell Flour Mills (+29.58%) and McNichols (+21.69%). Banking stocks also performed strongly, with the NGX Banking Index rising 2.96%, while the Oil & Gas Index gained 1.16% and the Industrial Goods Index advanced 0.82%.

Top gainers and losers

On the gainers’ table, Austin Laz & Company Plc led the market, surging 45.94% week-on-week to close at N4.67. It was followed closely by Aluminium Extrusion Industries Plc, which gained 45.57% to close at N23.80. Other standout performers included Eunisell Interlinked, Associated Bus Company, Honeywell Flour Mills, Fidson Healthcare, Deap Capital Management & Trust, McNichols, Ikeja Hotel, and C&I Leasing, all of which posted gains exceeding 20%.

Conversely, E-Tranzact International Plc topped the losers’ chart, shedding 9.92% to close at N11.35, while First HoldCo Plc declined 7.92% to N48.80. Other decliners included LivingTrust Mortgage Bank, CAP Plc, Champion Breweries, Abbey Mortgage Bank, Nigerian Breweries, Sovereign Trust Insurance, PZ Cussons Nigeria, and Seplat Energy.

Market outlook

Looking ahead, the All-Share Index is edging closer to a sustained break above the 156,500-point level and is within reach of the psychologically important N100 trillion market capitalisation milestone. Analysts suggest that if buying interest broadens across more stocks, the market could test new highs above 160,000 points, although a short-term pullback remains possible after such a strong run.

Overall, the week ended January 2, 2026, set a confident tone for the Nigerian stock market, with strong breadth, rising liquidity, and record-breaking index levels pointing to improving investor sentiment as the year begins.

Nigeria’s Current Account Surplus Projected to Rise to $18.81 Billion in 2026 – CBN

  • dollaers
  • January 5, 2026
  • Economy News
  • 0 comments

Nigeria’s external position is expected to strengthen further in 2026, with the country’s current account surplus projected to rise to $18.81 billion, equivalent to 11.16% of Gross Domestic Product (GDP). This outlook was contained in the 2026 Macroeconomic Outlook for Nigeria released by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), underscoring growing optimism around export performance, remittance inflows, and gradual improvements in key sectors of the economy.

The 2026 projection represents a notable improvement over the estimated $16.94 billion surplus recorded in 2025, which accounted for 10.94% of GDP. According to the apex bank, the widening surplus reflects stronger external earnings, even as pressures from rising imports, services payments, and investment income outflows are expected to persist.

Stronger exports to anchor external balance

At the core of the improved outlook is a stronger goods account, supported by rising export receipts. The CBN projects that Nigeria’s total export earnings will increase to $58.26 billion in 2026, up from $54.59 billion in 2025. This growth is expected to come from both oil and non-oil exports, reflecting ongoing reforms and targeted interventions across key productive sectors.

On the oil front, the CBN noted that higher export earnings are anchored on expectations of increased domestic crude oil production. Improved security around oil installations, reduced disruptions, and renewed investments in the sector are expected to boost output and export volumes. These gains, if sustained, would strengthen Nigeria’s foreign exchange earnings and help stabilise external balances.

Non-oil exports are also projected to remain on an upward trajectory. The CBN highlighted agricultural commodities and fertilisers as key growth drivers, supported by government initiatives aimed at improving the export value chain. According to the bank, policy interventions such as the recently launched National Export Trading Company—designed to address structural gaps in export logistics—and the National Intellectual Property Policy, which targets the expansion of creative exports, are expected to further enhance non-oil receipts in 2026.

Import growth and services deficit remain headwinds

Despite the positive export outlook, the CBN acknowledged that rising imports will continue to exert pressure on the external account. Total imports are projected to increase to $43.27 billion in 2026, compared with $39.92 billion in 2025. This rise is attributed largely to higher demand for capital goods as economic activity expands and infrastructure development gathers pace.

In addition, the services account deficit is expected to widen further, rising to $13.68 billion in 2026 from $12.80 billion in 2025. The apex bank attributed this to increased payments for business and transport services, including higher demand for research and development services, as well as rising freight charges associated with growing non-oil imports.

The primary income account is also projected to remain in deficit at $8.62 billion, reflecting higher investment income payments to foreign investors. The CBN noted that relatively attractive domestic yields are likely to continue drawing foreign portfolio inflows, which, while supporting capital inflows, also lead to increased interest and dividend repatriation.

Remittances to provide a major boost

On a more positive note, the secondary income account is expected to deliver a stronger surplus of $26.13 billion in 2026, up from $23.82 billion in 2025. This improvement is largely driven by higher diaspora remittances and increased transfers. The CBN also noted that part of these inflows may be linked to election-related activities, providing an additional boost to external receipts during the period.

What this means for Nigeria

Overall, the projected rise in Nigeria’s current account surplus points to tangible gains from oil sector reforms, export diversification efforts, and resilient remittance inflows. However, the outlook also highlights enduring structural challenges, including rising import dependence, widening services deficits, and growing income outflows associated with foreign investment.

Recent data reinforce this mixed picture. According to Nairametrics, Nigeria recorded a current account surplus of $3.42 billion in Q3 2025, down 41.14% from $5.81 billion in Q2 2025, and below the $5.78 billion recorded in Q3 2024. At the same time, foreign direct investment inflows surged to $720 million in Q3 2025, up sharply from $90 million in Q2, signalling renewed investor interest despite external pressures.

As Nigeria enters 2026, the CBN’s outlook suggests cautious optimism: stronger exports and remittances are improving the external balance, but sustaining these gains will depend on continued reforms, disciplined macroeconomic management, and progress in reducing structural vulnerabilities.

House Releases Certified Copies of Four Tax Reform Acts to Quell Controversy and Restore Confidence

  • dollaers
  • January 5, 2026
  • Tax
  • 0 comments

The House of Representatives has released the certified true copies of four major tax reform Acts recently signed into law by President Bola Ahmed Tinubu, following rising public controversy over alleged alterations and the circulation of unauthorised versions of the laws.

The decision was announced in a statement issued on Saturday by the House’s spokesperson, Akintunde Rotimi, who said the move was intended to address growing concerns about the authenticity of different versions of the tax laws circulating in the public domain. According to the House, making the certified copies publicly available is a critical step toward restoring confidence in the legislative process and reaffirming the integrity of Nigeria’s lawmaking institutions.

The controversy emerged amid claims that some of the tax reform laws, as gazetted and circulated, differed materially from the versions debated, harmonised, and passed by the National Assembly. These concerns triggered public debate, scrutiny from policy analysts, and calls in some quarters for the suspension of the implementation of the new tax regime.

Why the House intervened

The House disclosed that the immediate release of the certified Acts was ordered after allegations of discrepancies were formally raised on the floor of the chamber under a point of privilege. A member of the House reportedly flagged inconsistencies between various versions of the tax laws, prompting leadership to act swiftly to protect the credibility of the legislature.

Following this development, the Speaker of the House, Abbas Tajudeen, directed an internal verification exercise and authorised the public disclosure of the certified documents. According to the Speaker, the intervention underscores the National Assembly’s commitment to transparency, due process, and the sanctity of official legislative records.

He stressed that the National Assembly is fundamentally an institution of records, governed by established constitutional and parliamentary procedures that ensure traceability and accountability at every stage of lawmaking.

The tax reform Acts released

The four laws released form the core of Nigeria’s current tax reform architecture and are central to the Federal Government’s broader fiscal and revenue mobilisation strategy. They include:

  • The Nigeria Tax Act, 2025

  • The Nigeria Tax Administration Act, 2025

  • The National Revenue Service (Establishment) Act, 2025

  • The Joint Revenue Board (Establishment) Act, 2025

According to the House, these Acts are designed to modernise Nigeria’s tax system, improve compliance, eliminate duplication across revenue agencies, and strengthen coordination between federal and subnational tax authorities. The reforms are also expected to enhance efficiency in revenue administration and support fiscal sustainability at a time of mounting public finance pressures.

Assurance on legislative integrity

Speaker Abbas reassured Nigerians that the legislative process is guided by strict documentation and verification standards, noting that every bill and amendment follows a clearly defined constitutional pathway from introduction to assent.

“The National Assembly is an institution built on records, procedure, and institutional memory. Every Bill, every amendment, and every Act follows a traceable constitutional and parliamentary pathway,” the Speaker said.

He emphasised that the only valid and enforceable versions of the tax laws are those officially certified and released by the National Assembly, urging the public to disregard any unauthorised documents in circulation.

The House further disclosed that the Clerk to the National Assembly has worked closely with the Federal Government Printing Press to align the certified Acts, ensuring uniformity, accuracy, and conformity across all official copies. Hard copies of the laws have since been produced, circulated to lawmakers, and made available to the public for reference and verification.

In addition, an ad-hoc committee chaired by Rep. Muktar Aliyu Betara has been mandated to investigate how unauthorised versions of the laws entered the public space and to recommend safeguards to prevent similar incidents in the future.

Background to the controversy

The issue gained prominence last month after Hon. Abdulsammad Dasuki (PDP, Sokoto) raised concerns that the gazetted versions of the tax reform laws differed from what was passed by both chambers of the National Assembly. He claimed that his review revealed material discrepancies, fuelling calls from some stakeholders for the suspension of the laws’ implementation.

Despite the controversy, President Tinubu, speaking in late December, maintained that the new tax laws would take effect as scheduled from January 2026, dismissing calls for a delay. The release of the certified copies by the House now appears aimed at drawing a clear line under the dispute, reaffirming legislative transparency, and ensuring Nigerians have access to the authentic texts of the landmark tax reforms.

NGX Premium Stocks Deliver Strongest Returns as Index Outperforms Broader Market in 2025

  • dollaers
  • January 5, 2026
  • Stocks
  • 0 comments

Nigeria’s equity market closed 2025 on a notably bullish note, with premium-listed stocks on the Nigerian Exchange outperforming the broader market and reinforcing investor confidence in companies with strong governance, liquidity, and scale. Data from the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) shows that the NGX Premium Index delivered superior returns relative to the benchmark All-Share Index (ASI), highlighting the value investors placed on high-quality stocks during the year.

The NGX Premium Index ended 2025 at 15,493.2 points, representing a full-year gain of 59.40%, or 5,773.4 points. The index began the year at 9,719.8 points and decisively broke through the psychologically important 15,000-point level as the year progressed. This rally was supported by robust trading activity, with more than 32 billion shares exchanged in premium stocks over the course of the year, reflecting sustained investor interest.

By comparison, the broader All-Share Index also recorded an impressive performance, rising by 51.19%, or 52,686.6 points, to close the year at 155,613 points. While the overall market delivered strong gains, the Premium Index clearly outpaced it on a year-to-date basis, underscoring the resilience and appeal of Nigeria’s top-tier listed companies amid shifting macroeconomic conditions.

Third-quarter momentum powered the rally

A significant portion of the Premium Index’s outperformance was driven by a strong third-quarter rally, particularly in July. During the month, the index surged by 26.74%, helping to lift total Q3 performance to an 18.19% return—the strongest quarterly showing of the year. Market analysts attribute this momentum to a combination of improved investor sentiment, earnings optimism, and selective foreign portfolio inflows into fundamentally strong stocks.

The NGX Premium Index is designed to track companies that meet stringent listing requirements, including a minimum free float of ₦40 billion, market capitalisation of at least ₦200 billion, and a corporate governance score of no less than 70%. These thresholds are intended to enhance transparency, liquidity, and investor confidence, making the index a barometer for high-quality equities on the Nigerian market.

Broad-based gains across premium stocks

Performance in 2025 was largely broad-based, with seven of the eight premium stocks ending the year in positive territory. This contrasts with more uneven outcomes in other segments of the market and reflects the defensive strength of premium stocks during periods of volatility.

One of the lower-ranked performers among the premium cohort was Seplat Energy, which finished seventh with a modest gain of 1.91% for the year. Seplat closed 2025 at ₦5,809 per share, up slightly from its opening price of ₦5,700.

Although the 2025 performance paled in comparison to its exceptional 146.75% rally in 2024, when trading volume reached 29 million shares, Seplat still managed to stay in positive territory. Trading activity moderated in 2025, with about 19.2 million shares exchanged, reflecting a more measured investor approach.

Seplat’s year in review

Seplat’s price action during the year was relatively mixed. The stock was largely flat in the first half of 2025, with notable volatility in May when it declined by 12.91% to ₦4,964. This was followed by a rebound of 9.78% in June, which lifted the share price to ₦5,450. From July through September, prices stabilised, suggesting a period of consolidation.

October brought renewed optimism, as the stock gained 10% to reach ₦5,917. However, mild pullbacks in November and December trimmed those gains slightly, leaving the year-end price at ₦5,809.

Fundamentally, Seplat delivered a strong operational performance. The company reported a nine-month post-tax profit of ₦146.6 billion, more than double the ₦52.7 billion recorded over the same period in 2024. Its current market capitalisation stands at approximately ₦3.3 trillion, accounting for about 3.36% of the NGX’s total equity market value of ₦99.9 trillion.

What it means for investors

The strong showing of the NGX Premium Index in 2025 reinforces the growing preference for well-governed, highly capitalised stocks in Nigeria’s equity market. As macroeconomic reforms continue and market depth improves, premium stocks are likely to remain a focal point for both domestic and foreign investors seeking stability, liquidity, and long-term value.

Rivers State Executive Council Approves ₦1.85 Trillion Budget Proposal for 2026

  • dollaers
  • January 4, 2026
  • Budget
  • 0 comments

The Rivers State Government has taken a major step toward defining its fiscal and development priorities for the year ahead, as the State Executive Council approved a ₦1.85 trillion budget proposal for the 2026 fiscal year. The approval, which followed extensive deliberations by the council, signals the administration’s intention to sustain development momentum while navigating Nigeria’s prevailing economic pressures.

The decision was reached at a council meeting presided over by Siminalayi Fubara, according to disclosures made by state officials and reports by the News Agency of Nigeria (NAN). The approved spending framework outlines the government’s proposed recurrent and capital expenditures for 2026 and will now be transmitted to the Rivers State House of Assembly for legislative consideration and eventual approval.

State officials say the proposed budget is designed to consolidate ongoing development efforts while addressing emerging socio-economic needs across the state. With inflationary pressures, infrastructure gaps, and social welfare demands still posing challenges, the 2026 budget is expected to serve as a critical policy tool for stimulating economic activity and improving the living standards of residents.

Focus on completing key projects

Briefing journalists in Port Harcourt after the council meeting, the Special Adviser to the Governor on Economic Matters, Peter Medee, explained that the ₦1.85 trillion proposal places strong emphasis on completing ongoing projects rather than initiating numerous new ones.

According to him, a significant portion of the budget has been earmarked to meet outstanding obligations in critical sectors such as infrastructure, health, and education. He added that productive and socially impactful sectors—including agriculture, youth empowerment, culture, tourism, and information and communication technology (ICT)—have also been prioritised to ensure balanced and inclusive development.

“The budget sum of ₦1.85 trillion would fund outstanding obligations in critical sectors, including infrastructure, health, and education. Agriculture, youth empowerment, culture, tourism, and ICT will also be adequately prioritised by the budget,” Medee said, noting that the administration is keen on translating spending into tangible benefits for citizens.

Also speaking, Honour Sirawoo, Permanent Secretary in the Ministry of Information and Communications, said the proposal underwent detailed scrutiny by the Executive Council. He noted that the rigorous review process was aimed at ensuring value for money and aligning spending with the government’s broader development agenda. According to Sirawoo, the approved allocations are strategically targeted at improving public welfare and service delivery across Rivers State.

Economic implications

If passed by the Rivers State House of Assembly, the ₦1.85 trillion budget could play a significant role in stimulating economic activity in the oil-rich state. Analysts note that the strong emphasis on infrastructure and social sectors could help unlock private sector participation, enhance productivity, and improve access to essential services.

The inclusion of agriculture and ICT as priority areas also points to an effort to diversify the state’s economic base, create jobs—particularly for young people—and reduce reliance on oil-related revenues. However, observers caution that the ultimate impact of the budget will depend heavily on revenue performance, fiscal discipline, and effective implementation.

Looking back at 2025

The 2026 proposal comes against the backdrop of Rivers State’s 2025 fiscal experience. In January 2025, Governor Fubara signed the ₦1.1 trillion 2025 budget into law, describing it as a cornerstone of the state’s development agenda. That budget comprised ₦462.25 billion for recurrent expenditure, ₦678.09 billion for capital projects, a planning reserve of ₦35.69 billion, and a closing balance of ₦12.93 billion.

The governor had disclosed that financing for the 2025 budget would be sourced from multiple revenue streams, including allocations from the Federation Accounts Allocation Committee (FAAC), Internally Generated Revenue (IGR), statutory allocations, mineral funds, Value Added Tax (VAT), and various refunds.

However, the 2025 fiscal year was not without controversy. Lawmakers were reported to have barred Governor Fubara from accessing the House of Assembly to re-present the 2025 budget, an incident that underscored political tensions within the state.

The road ahead

As the ₦1.85 trillion 2026 budget proposal heads to the legislature, attention will now shift to the Rivers State House of Assembly’s review process. Stakeholders will be watching closely to see how quickly the budget is considered and whether proposed allocations are retained or adjusted. Ultimately, residents of Rivers State will judge the budget not by its size, but by its ability to deliver visible improvements in infrastructure, public services, and economic opportunities.

Naira Opens 2026 Slightly Weaker at N1,431/$ After Strong Year-End Rally

  • dollaers
  • January 4, 2026
  • Finance
  • 0 comments

Nigeria’s currency, the naira, began trading in 2026 on a softer note, depreciating marginally to ₦1,431 per dollar at the official foreign exchange market on the first trading day of the year. The mild pullback comes after the currency closed 2025 with a strong rally, underscoring cautious sentiment among market participants as trading resumed after the New Year holiday.

Data tracked from the Nigerian Foreign Exchange Market (NFEM) shows that the naira weakened slightly on Friday, January 2, 2026, compared with its last recorded position of ₦1,429/$1 on Wednesday, December 31, 2025, which marked the final trading session of the previous year. Although the movement was modest, it represented a pause in the appreciation trend that characterised the closing days of 2025.

A closer look at the figures indicates that the naira depreciated by ₦2 on a day-on-day basis, translating to a marginal decline of about 0.14 percent. Market watchers say such early-year adjustments are not unusual, particularly after extended holidays, when delayed demand for foreign exchange tends to resurface once markets reopen.

Recent trading pattern

Despite the slight dip, recent trading sessions point to notable resilience in the naira toward the end of last year. On Tuesday, December 30, 2025, the currency traded at ₦1,445/$1, while it stood at ₦1,446.4/$1 on Monday, December 29. Going further back, the naira exchanged at ₦1,451/$1 on December 24, highlighting a gradual but consistent appreciation as the year drew to a close.

This steady strengthening in the final weeks of 2025 helped cushion the impact of the mild depreciation seen at the start of 2026, reinforcing the view that the currency has entered the new year from a relatively stronger position.

Bigger picture

On an annual basis, the naira recorded a solid performance in 2025. At ₦1,429/$1 on December 31, the currency appreciated by about 7.4 percent compared with the ₦1,535/$1 rate recorded on the final trading day of 2024. Analysts attribute this improvement to a combination of sustained foreign exchange reforms, better price discovery at the official market, and intermittent inflows from exporters and foreign portfolio investors.

Another key factor supporting the currency was the improved alignment between official and parallel market rates toward the end of the year, which helped reduce arbitrage opportunities and speculative pressures. This convergence played a role in restoring some confidence among investors and market participants.

From a longer-term perspective, the naira’s current level still represents a marked improvement from where it started in 2025. Data shows that on the first trading day of last year, January 2, 2025, the currency traded at ₦1,538.50/$1 at the official market, highlighting the scale of appreciation achieved over the past twelve months.

What this means for 2026

Market analysts say the modest depreciation at the start of 2026 does not fundamentally alter the outlook for the naira in the near term. According to Dotun Adedira, early-year softness often reflects pent-up demand following public holidays rather than a shift in underlying fundamentals.

“The naira’s relative stability in recent weeks suggests that volatility could remain limited in the short term,” he noted, adding that much will depend on policy consistency and foreign exchange supply dynamics.

Looking ahead, the currency’s performance is expected to be influenced by the policy stance of the Central Bank of Nigeria, trends in global oil prices, and the pace of foreign exchange inflows from exports and portfolio investments. Analysts believe that if FX supply improves and reforms at the official market are sustained, the naira could maintain its recent stability in the early months of 2026.

Overall, while the naira has started the year with a slight pullback, its strong finish in 2025 provides a relatively solid foundation as Nigeria navigates the new trading year.

Senator Says Fuel Subsidy Removal Is Saving Nigeria Over N10 Trillion Every Year

  • dollaers
  • January 4, 2026
  • Government
  • 0 comments

Nigeria is saving more than ₦10 trillion annually following the removal of fuel subsidies, a move Senator Solomon Adeola has described as one of the most consequential economic reforms undertaken by the administration of President Bola Ahmed Tinubu.

The chairman of the Senate Committee on Appropriation made the disclosure over the weekend in Ogun State, where he defended the controversial policy and argued that it has significantly eased the country’s fiscal burden after decades of what he called wasteful public spending.

According to Senator Solomon Adeola, the fuel subsidy regime had for years acted as a major drain on Nigeria’s finances, benefiting only a narrow segment of the population while forcing the government to borrow heavily to keep petrol prices artificially low. He said the decision by President Tinubu to discontinue the subsidy marked a turning point in the nation’s economic management.

“I am a living testimony to what the president has done within his first two years in office,” Adeola said. “He removed a cankerworm that has eaten deep into our economy for decades. The fuel subsidy benefited very few Nigerians, but its cost was borne by the entire country.”

Drawing from his experience as a former chairman of the Senate Committee on Finance, Adeola said Nigeria routinely borrowed between ₦6 trillion and ₦7 trillion every year just to finance fuel subsidies. When combined with other associated costs and inefficiencies, he noted, the total annual burden on public finances exceeded ₦10 trillion.

“With that singular action, the president is saving this country over ₦10 trillion on a yearly basis,” the senator stated, adding that the savings have created fiscal space for investment in critical infrastructure and other development priorities.

Adeola also praised the Tinubu administration for what he described as an aggressive push to rebuild Nigeria’s infrastructure base, arguing that the long-term benefits would outweigh the short-term pain Nigerians are experiencing as a result of higher fuel prices. He said the president remains committed to building a secure and prosperous country despite economic headwinds and widespread public criticism.

Context and background

Nigeria officially ended fuel subsidies in May 2023, shortly after President Tinubu was sworn into office. The announcement, made during his inaugural address, brought an abrupt end to decades of government intervention in petrol pricing. The policy was designed to reduce budget deficits, eliminate leakages and corruption associated with subsidy payments, and redirect scarce resources toward infrastructure, education, healthcare, and social programmes.

However, the removal of subsidies triggered a sharp increase in petrol prices nationwide, leading to higher transportation costs, rising food prices, and increased inflation. Labour unions, civil society organisations, and opposition figures criticised the move, arguing that it worsened the cost-of-living crisis for ordinary Nigerians.

Despite these concerns, Adeola maintained that the reform was unavoidable and long overdue. He argued that the previous system was unsustainable and had left the country vulnerable to debt accumulation and fiscal instability.

Infrastructure as reinvestment strategy

The senator said the federal government is channeling subsidy savings into large-scale infrastructure projects designed to stimulate economic growth and create jobs. He cited the Lagos-Calabar Coastal Highway as a flagship project that will traverse multiple states and unlock economic activity along Nigeria’s southern corridor.

He also highlighted the Sokoto-Badagry Super Highway, describing it as a transformational project that would reshape connectivity across the country. According to Adeola, the highway is expected to include up to 66 dams upon completion, supporting irrigation, power generation, and regional development.

“The Lagos–Calabar road alone will cut across about 10 to 15 states. That is a new Nigeria being built,” he said. “Along the Sokoto–Badagry corridor, we are talking about dozens of dams that will drive agriculture and development.”

What you should know

In 2024, the presidency disclosed that Nigeria is saving about $7.5 billion annually from funds previously allocated to fuel subsidies. The disclosure was made by Sunday Dare, Special Adviser on Media and Public Communications to President Tinubu.

Meanwhile, projections by the Federal Ministry of Finance under the Accelerated Stabilisation and Advancement Plan (ASAP), presented by Wale Edun, showed that fuel subsidy spending could have reached ₦5.4 trillion in 2024, compared with ₦3.6 trillion budgeted in 2023, had the policy not been scrapped.

Overall, Adeola’s remarks reinforce the government’s argument that subsidy removal, while painful in the short term, is central to restoring fiscal discipline and laying the foundation for sustainable economic growth in Nigeria.

CBN Sets 2026 Agenda Around Banking Stability, Fintech Oversight, and Inflation Control

  • dollaers
  • January 4, 2026
  • Bank, Finance
  • 0 comments

The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has outlined a reform-focused agenda for 2026 that places banking system stability, tighter regulation of financial technology firms, sustained inflation control, and the modernisation of payments infrastructure at the heart of monetary and financial policy.

The priorities were disclosed by the CBN Governor, Olayemi Cardoso, in a public statement shared on X (formerly Twitter), where he set out the apex bank’s strategic direction for the year ahead. The message signals continuity in the Bank’s reform-driven posture, reinforcing its commitment to restoring confidence in Nigeria’s financial system, strengthening macroeconomic stability, and laying the groundwork for sustainable economic growth.

According to Cardoso, the CBN’s foremost task in 2026 is to continue strengthening the banking sector through rigorous supervision, improved risk management, and higher standards of corporate governance. He stressed that a resilient banking system remains the backbone of economic stability, especially in an environment still recovering from inflationary pressures, exchange rate volatility, and confidence shocks experienced in recent years.

“As we begin 2026, our priorities are clear,” Cardoso said. “We will continue to strengthen the banking system through rigorous supervision and sound governance; refine our inflation-targeting framework to deliver durable price stability; modernise the payments infrastructure to improve efficiency and inclusion; and foster responsible fintech innovation anchored on consumer protection and financial integrity.”

Inflation control remains central
A key pillar of the 2026 agenda is inflation control, which Cardoso described as central to the CBN’s mandate and credibility. He noted that the apex bank would continue to rely on disciplined, data-driven monetary policy tools to anchor inflation expectations and stabilise the economy. This approach reflects the CBN’s broader shift toward orthodox monetary management, with less reliance on ad hoc interventions and greater emphasis on transparency and predictability.

Nigeria’s economy has endured a prolonged period of elevated inflation, which eroded purchasing power and increased business costs. While inflation has begun to moderate, the CBN’s stance suggests that policymakers are not ready to declare victory. Instead, the focus in 2026 will be on entrenching price stability and preventing a resurgence of inflationary pressures that could undermine recent gains.

Fintech growth meets tighter regulation
Another major focus of the CBN’s agenda is the fast-growing fintech ecosystem. Over the past decade, fintech firms have transformed Nigeria’s financial landscape, expanding access to payments, savings, credit, and investment products. However, their rapid growth has also raised concerns around consumer protection, regulatory arbitrage, data privacy, and systemic risk.

Cardoso made it clear that while the CBN supports innovation, it expects technology-led growth to be matched by strong governance and compliance. He said the Bank would promote responsible fintech innovation while tightening oversight to ensure financial integrity and protect consumers.

The message to fintech operators is that innovation alone is no longer sufficient. As fintechs scale and become systemically important, they will be held to higher regulatory standards similar to those applied to traditional financial institutions. This, the CBN believes, is essential to safeguarding trust in the financial system.

Payments modernisation and inclusion
The CBN also plans to accelerate the modernisation of Nigeria’s payments infrastructure in 2026. According to Cardoso, improving efficiency, reducing transaction costs, and deepening financial inclusion—particularly for underserved and unbanked populations—are key objectives.

Modern, reliable payment systems are increasingly seen as critical economic infrastructure, supporting commerce, reducing cash dependency, and enabling digital innovation. The CBN’s focus suggests continued investment in payment rails, settlement systems, and regulatory frameworks that can support a more inclusive and efficient financial ecosystem.

To support these ambitions, Cardoso disclosed plans to strengthen the CBN’s internal capacity through advanced data analytics and artificial intelligence-enabled tools. These capabilities are expected to enhance policy formulation, improve supervisory effectiveness, and sharpen regulatory oversight in an increasingly complex financial environment.

What this means for the economy
Overall, the CBN’s 2026 agenda points to a preference for stability and credibility over short-term stimulus. For banks, this implies stricter supervision and sustained pressure to improve governance and risk management. For fintechs, it signals clearer rules and tougher enforcement, alongside continued support for innovation that aligns with consumer protection and systemic safety.

For the broader economy, sustained inflation control and modernised payment systems could help reduce transaction frictions, improve efficiency, and support economic activity over the medium term. The agenda reinforces the CBN’s view that economic reform is a gradual process requiring discipline, consistency, and institutional strength.

Looking ahead, the apex bank has projected that headline inflation will moderate further in 2026, averaging 12.94%, supported by improved domestic supply conditions and stabilising energy prices. Whether these projections materialise will depend largely on the success of the CBN’s ability to balance tight policy, effective regulation, and sustained reforms in the year ahead.

Airtel Africa Raises Cumulative Share Buybacks to 40.9 Million, Reinforcing Shareholder Value Strategy

  • dollaers
  • January 4, 2026
  • Business, Stocks
  • 0 comments

Airtel Africa has increased the cumulative number of its repurchased shares to 40.93 million, underscoring its steady commitment to capital returns and disciplined balance-sheet management. The telecoms group disclosed that the shares were acquired at a cumulative average price of 152.24 pence per share since the launch of the first tranche of its US$100 million share buyback programme in December 2024.

The latest update was contained in a corporate filing submitted to the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) on Friday, January 2, 2026. According to the disclosure, Airtel Africa repurchased an additional 40,000 ordinary shares on December 31, 2025, continuing the execution of the buyback programme approved by shareholders.

Details of the transaction show that the shares were bought at prices ranging between 354.00 pence and 357.00 pence, with a volume-weighted average price of 355.95 pence. The purchases were carried out by Barclays Capital Securities Limited, acting as broker under the authority granted by shareholders and in line with the revised buyback framework announced by the company in September 2025.

In naira terms, and using an exchange rate of approximately N1,970 per British pound sterling, Airtel Africa has now spent an estimated N122.7 billion repurchasing its own shares. This figure highlights the scale of capital already returned to shareholders through share cancellations, even as the group continues to invest heavily in network expansion, data services, and mobile money growth across its African markets.

What the update means for investors
By consistently shrinking its outstanding share count, Airtel Africa is laying the groundwork for incremental support to key per-share metrics, such as earnings per share and free cash flow per share, assuming operating performance remains resilient. For long-term investors, the continued execution of the buyback programme signals management’s confidence in the group’s cash-generation capacity and balance-sheet strength.

Importantly, the repurchased shares are being cancelled, rather than held indefinitely in treasury. This approach permanently reduces the equity base and gradually increases the proportional ownership of remaining shareholders. While each individual buyback tranche may appear modest, the cumulative effect over time can be meaningful, particularly for a company of Airtel Africa’s scale.

Market participants are now closely watching how the ongoing buyback will influence the company’s valuation on both the NGX and the London Stock Exchange (LSE), where Airtel Africa is dual-listed. Attention is also focused on the remaining headroom under the US$100 million authorisation and the pace at which management chooses to deploy it in 2026.

Disciplined execution across trading venues
The December 31 transaction reflected a disciplined execution strategy within a narrow price band, suggesting tight control over market impact. The bulk of the shares were acquired on the London Stock Exchange at an average price of 355.79 pence. Additional liquidity was sourced from alternative trading venues, including BATS Europe, CHI-X Europe, Aquis Exchange, and Turquoise.

Such multi-venue execution is typical of UK-listed share buybacks, especially when companies opt to repurchase shares in relatively small daily volumes rather than aggressively intervening in the market. This approach helps minimise slippage, supports best execution standards, and reduces the risk of distorting short-term price dynamics.

Impact on share capital and voting rights
Following the cancellation of the repurchased shares, Airtel Africa’s issued ordinary share capital now stands at approximately 3.66 billion shares, with about 7.49 million shares held in treasury. As a result, total voting rights have been reduced to roughly 3.65 billion. The company noted that shareholders should use this updated figure when assessing disclosure obligations under UK Financial Conduct Authority rules, particularly for monitoring threshold crossings.

Although the numerical change in voting rights may appear marginal, the continued reduction reinforces the mechanical benefits of the buyback programme, steadily increasing the relative stake of long-term shareholders.

Stock performance and outlook
On the NGX, Airtel Africa’s shares closed at N2,270.00 on Friday, January 2, 2026, making it the fourth most valuable listed stock on the exchange, with a market capitalisation of about N8.53 trillion—roughly 8.55% of total NGX equity value. The stock reached a year high in late May 2025 before moderating and trading largely sideways through the second half of the year.

For the broader market, the latest update reinforces Airtel Africa’s reputation as a disciplined capital allocator. Analysts say the stock remains one to watch in 2026, as continued buybacks, alongside operational execution in data and mobile money, could further strengthen shareholder returns over the medium term.

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